Chad Millman

Betting Insights Sharp or Square Sportsbook

Sharp or Square: Week 6 NFL Betting Insights

Every NFL week has its character. Some are clear, confident, and clean - where the lines tell the truth and the data hums in perfect sync with instinct. Week 6 isn’t that. Week 6 is chaos disguised as opportunity. It’s...

Chad Millman

October 9, 2025

Betting Insights Sharp or Square Sportsbook

Sharp or Square: What the Board Tells Us for NFL Week 6

Week 5 was one of those weekends that tested your heart rate and your bankroll. Five teams came back from two-touchdown deficits to win outright. Six overcame double-digit holes. We were on five of them, and when the Jaguars covered...

Chad Millman

October 7, 2025

Betting Insights Sharp or Square Sportsbook

Sharp or Square: Week 5 Recap, Early Week 6 Bets

Some Sundays are prizefights. This one was a carnival ride: tilting, spinning, and occasionally making you swear off Survivor pools forever. We opened 0-1 after the Rams whiffed Thursday night, hit Sunday sitting 2-2, and now everything rides on Jags...

Chad Millman

October 6, 2025

Betting Insights Sharp or Square Sportsbook

Sharp or Square: Week 5 NFL Betting Insights

This is our Thursday, Week 5 episode. We’re going to narrow down the options on our quest to find five picks we agree on for the week. We’re switching up the format a little bit, and we’re locking in on...

Chad Millman

October 2, 2025

Betting Insights Sharp or Square Sportsbook

Sharp or Square: What the Board Tells Us for NFL Week 5

We try not to romanticize a single Sunday. The whole point is to keep a principled edge: love prices, not teams; buy dips, sell spikes; and be selectively gross when the market dares you. With that in mind, here’s how...

Chad Millman

September 30, 2025

Betting Insights Sharp or Square Sportsbook

Sharp or Square: Week 4 Recap, Early Week 5 Bets

We’ll never complain about a 3–2 week betting the NFL. In this racket, 60% keeps the lights on, the marriage happy, and the squares a little sharper. But how we got there this week? Pure chaos. Early slate pain, late...

Chad Millman

September 29, 2025

Sharp or Square Sportsbook

Sharp or Square: Our Week 4 Betting Picks

This is the best part of the sports calendar. Baseball is peaking, pucks and hoops are tuning up, and football is a constant hum. We’re grateful that our job is to turn that hum into edges, and this week offers...

Chad Millman

September 25, 2025

Sharp or Square

Sharp or Square: Week 4 NFL Betting Insights

Last weekend we went 3-2 to move to 9-6 on the season. In a week where the board looked gross, that’s a win. Sunday nights don’t always show our true emotions -- Chad comes in buzzing, Simon looks half-dead --...

Chad Millman

September 23, 2025

Sharp or Square

Sharp or Square: It’s a Dogs Week — and We’ve Got the Stomach for It

This is the part of the NFL season when the market thinks it has teams figured out after two data points - and that’s where we’re comfortable living. Week 3 is a dogs week. Divisional road dogs. Inflated numbers off...

Chad Millman

September 18, 2025

Sharp or Square Sportsbook

Perception vs. Reality: What Two Weeks Tell Us – And What They Don’t

Two weeks into the NFL season and it already feels like we’ve been here before: favorites are steamrolling and public parlays are cashing. Translation: chalk keeps winning. Since Week 13 of last season, favorites of more than four have been...

Chad Millman

September 17, 2025