Mounting public debt and the growing footprint of non-banks in sovereign debt markets have brought new financial stability challenges, requiring careful action from policymakers. In a keynote speech at The London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), Pablo Hernández de Cos said public debt levels had reached record post-WWII highs in many economies. The outlook was particularly concerning given the extra fiscal pressures on pension and medical costs from population ageing, among other drivers, and the chance that interest rates would not return to pre-pandemic lows. Meanwhile, non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs), for example hedge funds, have rapidly expanded since the Great Financial Crisis. Non-banks now hold more than twice as much advanced economy sovereign debt as banks. Many holdings are cross-border, making currency hedging a key theme. Mr Hernández de Cos said these developments had given rise to a new set of channels for potentially amplifying financial stress, related to NBFIs’ heavy reliance on leverage and short-term dollar funding. The short-term funding allowing NBFIs to build up leverage is primarily provided by banks, highlighting the critical importance of banking regulation for the stability of NBFIs. A coordinated policy response is needed. “Policymakers should address these challenges by employing a carefully selected mix of tools that spans fiscal, monetary and prudential policy,” he said. Read more about the new channels and the policy options at https://bit.ly/4p6JCgB Watch the keynote speech: https://lnkd.in/ezj2EbNP
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